Publisher's Synopsis
How can developing countries design a macroeconomic policy framework that will reverse the current trend of persistent inflation, regressive real growth and foreign exchange bottlenecks? One plausible answer emerges from an intersection between the dilemma and a novel analytical approach. In this book, Victor Murinde develops one novel approach by drawing on the first principles of economic theory to construct a macroeconomic model such that the structural features and bottlenecks of a developing country are integrally incorporated. The model is small and congruent with the limited available data, but it is comprehensive enough to address the key policy instruments and targets. A battery of modern econometric techniques are called upon to estimate and test the model on Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, since independence, in a country-specific as well as cross-country spirit. Policy experiments are performed to highlight the macroeconomic scenario generated each time a policy instrument or a stabilization policy package is implemented. The experiments fully demonstrate the practicability of the ?small-model-limited-data? methodology developed in the book.
