Publisher's Synopsis
This important book, written by a former intelligence officer, explains why the majority of wars in the twentieth century have not been predicted, despite immense intelligence resources.
In this volume, the author develops and tests a new theory about the role of culture in controlling perception, laying the foundation for a method of control which will be of enormous value in intelligence prediction. He provides a checklist of anthropological, cultural and behavioural factors and shows how these factors affect the accuracy of political and military predictions.