Publisher's Synopsis
Excerpt from Assessing Technological Progress Using Hazard Rate Models of R and D Communities
It is precisely in this manner that the decisions of researchers as a whole may signal changes in a technology's rate of progress toward commercialization. The aggregate measure of such decisions may very well embody all of the information available about the likelihood of successfully developing a technology. That is, it may represent the cumulative judgments of all of those who work in the field and who, through their decisions to stay with or dis continue their activities are signaling their own assessment of a technology. The basic assumption is that there is a correspondence between the rate of progress in a technical field and the likelihood of researchers continuing in it.
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